| Acknowledgments | vii |
| Foreword | xv |
1. | The Economy and the Earth | 3 |
| Economy Self-Destructing | 7 |
| Lessons from the Past | 14 |
| Learning from China | 17 |
| The Acceleration of History | 19 |
| The Option: Restructure or Decline | 21 |
I. | A Stressed Relationship | |
2. | Signs of Stress: Climate and Water | 27 |
| Temperature Rising | 28 |
| The Ice Is Melting | 30 |
| Sea Level Rising | 34 |
| More Destructive Storms | 37 |
| Rivers Drained Dry | 39 |
| Falling Water Tables | 43 |
| Facing Water Scarcity | 46 |
3. | Signs of Stress: The Biological Base | 49 |
| Fisheries Collapsing | 51 |
| Forests Shrinking | 55 |
| Rangelands Deteriorating | 58 |
| Soils Eroding | 62 |
| Species Disappearing | 68 |
| Synergies and Surprises | 72 |
II. | The New Economy | |
4. | The Shape of the Eco-Economy | 77 |
| Ecology Over Economics | 78 |
| A Monumental Undertaking | 81 |
| Restructuring the Economy | 83 |
| New Industries, New Jobs | 85 |
| History's Greatest Investment Opportunity | 92 |
5. | Building the Solar/Hydrogen Economy | 97 |
| The Energy Efficiency Base | 99 |
| Harnessing the Wind | 102 |
| Turning Sunlight into Electricity | 107 |
| Tapping the Earth's Heat | 110 |
| Natural Gas: The Transition Fuel | 112 |
| Getting to the Hydrogen Economy | 114 |
6. | Designing a New Materials Economy | 121 |
| Throwaway Products | 123 |
| Materials and the Environment | 126 |
| The Earth's Toxic Burden | 131 |
| The Role of Recycling | 135 |
| Redesigning the Materials Economy | 138 |
7. | Feeding Everyone Well | 145 |
| A Status Report | 147 |
| Raising Cropland Productivity | 150 |
| Raising Water Productivity | 154 |
| Restructuring the Protein Economy | 158 |
| Eradicating Hunger: A Broad Strategy | 163 |
8. | Protecting Forest Products and Services | 169 |
| Fuel, Lumber, and Paper | 170 |
| Forest Services | 172 |
| Sustainable Forestry | 176 |
| Lightening the Load | 178 |
| The Role of Plantations | 181 |
| Reclaiming the Earth | 183 |
9. | Redesigning Cities for People | 187 |
| An Urbanizing Species | 188 |
| Car-Centered Urban Sprawl | 191 |
| Urbanization and Obesity | 195 |
| Urban Rail and Bicycle Systems | 199 |
| Planning Cities for People | 202 |
III. | Getting from Here to There | |
10. | Stabilizing Population by Reducing Fertility | 211 |
| Breaking Out or Breaking Down | 213 |
| Africa Breaking Down | 217 |
| Filling the Family Planning Gap | 220 |
| The Role of Female Education | 225 |
| Using Soap Operas and Sitcoms | 227 |
| Stopping at Two | 228 |
11. | Tools for Restructuring the Economy | 233 |
| The Fiscal Steering Wheel | 234 |
| Tax Shifting | 236 |
| Subsidy Shifting | 240 |
| Ecolabeling: Voting with Our Wallets | 244 |
| Tradable Permits | 248 |
| Support for Fiscal Restructuring | 249 |
12. | Accelerating the Transition | 253 |
| United Nations Leadership | 255 |
| New Responsibility of Governments | 257 |
| New Role for the Media | 259 |
| The Corporate Interest | 261 |
| NGOs and Individuals | 265 |
| Crossing the Threshold | 269 |
| Is There Enough Time? | 274 |
| Notes | 277 |
| Index | 323 |