Practical Fruits of Econophysics: Proceedings of The Third Nikkei Econophysics Symposium / Edition 1

Practical Fruits of Econophysics: Proceedings of The Third Nikkei Econophysics Symposium / Edition 1

by Hideki Takayasu
ISBN-10:
4431289143
ISBN-13:
9784431289142
Pub. Date:
11/22/2005
Publisher:
Springer Japan
ISBN-10:
4431289143
ISBN-13:
9784431289142
Pub. Date:
11/22/2005
Publisher:
Springer Japan
Practical Fruits of Econophysics: Proceedings of The Third Nikkei Econophysics Symposium / Edition 1

Practical Fruits of Econophysics: Proceedings of The Third Nikkei Econophysics Symposium / Edition 1

by Hideki Takayasu

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Overview

The proceedings of the Third Nikkei Econophysics Symposium, "Business Models in the 21st Century - Risk Management and Expectations for Econophysics," held in Tokyo in November 2004, are gathered herein. Cutting-edge research on the practical application of econophysics is included, covering such topics as the predictability of markets, the analysis of rare events, the mechanism of crashes and bubbles, markets' correlation and risk management, investment strategy, stochastic market simulations, agent-based market simulations, wealth distribution, and network structures in economics, most of which are beyond the scope of standard financial technology. New market models and financial-data analysis methods are introduced, and dynamic aspects of markets and economy are highlighted. Professionals, researchers, and students will find an invaluable resource in this first book of its kind to summarize the latest work in the field of econophysics.


Product Details

ISBN-13: 9784431289142
Publisher: Springer Japan
Publication date: 11/22/2005
Edition description: 2006
Pages: 390
Product dimensions: 6.10(w) x 9.25(h) x 0.04(d)

Table of Contents

1. Market's Basic Properties

Correlated Randomeness: Rare and Not-so-rare Events in Finance

Non-trivial scaling of fluctuations in the trading activity of NYSE

Dynamics and predictability of fluctuations in dollar-yen exchange rates

Temporal characteristics of moving average of foreign exchange markets

Characteristic market behaviors caused by intervention in a foreign exchange market

Apples and Oranges: the difference between the Reaction of the Emerging and Mature Markets to Crashes

Scaling and Memory in Return Loss Intervals: Application to Risk Estimation

Recurrence analysis near the NASDAQ crash of April 2000

Modeling a foreign exchange rate using moving average of Yen-Dollar market data

Systematic tuning of optimal weighted-moving-average of yen-dollar market data

Power law and its transition in the slow convergence to a Gaussian in the S&P500 index

Empirical study of the market impact in the Tokyo Sk Exchange

Econophysics to unravel the hidden dynamics of commodity markets

A characteristic time scale of tick quotes on foreign currency markets

2. Predictability of Markets

Order book dynamics and price impact

Prediction oriented variant of financial log-periodicity and speculating about the sk market development until 2010

Quantitative Forecasting and Modeling Sk Price Fluctuations

Time series of sk price and of two fractal overlaps: Anticipating market crashes ?

Short Time Segment Price Forecasts Using Spline Fit Interactions

Successful Price Cycle Forecasts for S&P Futures Using TF3 - a Pattern Recognition Algorithms Based on the KNN Method

The Hurst's exponent in technical analysis signals

Financial Markets Dynamic Distribution Function, Predictability and Investment Decision-Making (FMDDF)

Market Cycle Turning Point Forecasts by a Two-Parameter Learning Algorithm as a Trading Tool for S&P Futures

3. Mathematical models

The CTRWs in finance: the mean exit time

Discretized Continuous-Time Hierarchical Walks and Flights as possible bases of the non-linear long-term auorrelations observed in highfrequency financial time-series

Evidence for Superdiffusion and "Momentum" in Sk Price Changes

Beyond the Third Dimension: Searching for the Price Equation

An agent-based model of financial returns in a limit order market

Sk price process and the long-range percolation

What information is hidden in chaotic time series?

Analysis of Evolution of Sk Prices in Terms of Oscillation Theory

Simple shastic modeling for fat tails in financial markets

Agent Based Simulation Design Principles ? Applications to Sk Market

Heterogeneous agents model for sk market dynamics: role of market leaders and fundamental prices

Dynamics of Interacting Strategies

Emergence of two-phase behavior in markets through interaction and learning in agents with bounded rationality

Explanation of binarized tick data using investor sentiment and genetic learning

A Game-theoretic Shastic Agents Model for Enterprise Risk Management

4. Correlation and Risk Management

Blackouts, risk, and fat-tailed distributions

Portfolio Selection in a Noisy Environment Using Absolute Deviation as a Risk Measure

Application of PCA and Random Matrix Theory to Passive Fund Management

Testing Methods to Reduce Noise in Financial Correlation Matrices

Application of noise level estimation for portfolio optimization

Method of Analyzing Weather Derivatives Based on Long-range Weather Forecasts

Investment horizons : A time-dependent measure of asset performance

Clustering financial time series

Risk portofolio management under Zipf analysis based strategies

Macro-players in sk markets

Conservative Estimation of Default Rate Correlations

Are Firm Growth Rates Random? Evidence from Japanese Small Firms

Trading Volume and Information Dynamics of Financial Markets

Random Matrix Theory Applied to Portfolio Optimization in Japanese Sk Market

Growth and Fluctuations for Small-Business Firms

5. Networks and Wealth Distributions

The skeleton of the Shareholders Networks

Financial Market - A Network Perspective

Change of ownership networks in Japan

G7 country Gross Domestic Product (GDP) time correlations - A graph network analysis

Dependence of Distribution and Velocity of Money on Required Reserve Ratio

Prospects for Money Transfer Models

Inequalities of Wealth Distribution in a Society with Social Classes

Analyzing money distributions in 'ideal gas' models of markets

Unstable periodic orbits and chaotic transitions among growth patterns of an economy

Power-law behaviors in high income distribution

The power-law exponent and the competition rule of the high income model

6. New Ideas

Personal versus economic freedom

Complexity in an Interacting System of Production

Four Ingredients for New Approaches to Macroeconomic Modeling

Competition phase space: theory and practice

Analysis of Retail Spatial Market System by the Constructive Simulation Method

Quantum-Monadology Approach to Economic Systems

Visualization of microstructures of economic flows and adaptive control

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