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    Risk Rules: How Local Politics Threaten the Global Economy

    Risk Rules: How Local Politics Threaten the Global Economy

    by Marvin Zonis, Dan Lefkovitz, Sam Wilkin, Joseph Yackley


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    (Second Edition)
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      ISBN-13: 9781572846784
    • Publisher: Agate
    • Publication date: 04/01/2011
    • Sold by: Barnes & Noble
    • Format: eBook
    • Pages: 356
    • File size: 630 KB

    Marvin Zonis, professor emeritus of international political economy at the Booth Graduate School of Business at the University of Chicago, is also the author of The Eastern European Opportunity and Majestic Failure: The Fall of the Shah.

    Table of Contents

    Preface to Risk Rules vii

    Preface to The Kimchi Matters ix

    Risk Rules: An Introduction xix

    Part I Discontent

    Chapter 1 "We Practically Own Everything…": Corruption 3

    Chapter 2 The Cake: Ethnic Conflict 17

    Chapter 3 Down with Mubarak: Social Change 33

    Chapter 4 "They Transform Themselves into Tigers": The J-Curve

    Part 2 Managing Discontent

    Chapter 5 Toppling Punto Fijo: Opposition 57

    Chapter 6 Tony Blair's Gay Gangsters: Channels for Discontent 77

    Chapter 7 The World's Most Powerful Man: State Power 95

    Part 3 Leadership

    Chapter 8 Good Leaders and Bad: Quality of Leadership 109

    Chapter 9 After Tito-Tito: Succession Threat 119

    Chapter 10 Fujishock: The Ruling Bargain 137

    Part 4 Policy

    Chapter 11 Clockwork Crises: The Instability Trap 161

    Chapter 12 Powers Behind the Throne: Entrenched Interests 173

    Chapter 13 The Visible Hand: Government Intervention 197

    Chapter 14 "When England Sneezes…": External Shocks 215

    Chapter 15 Economic Potential Energy: Institutions 243

    Conclusion-"Eating Big Macs Doesn't Make it McChina" 269

    Notes 297

    Index 339

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    Risk Rules is a comprehensive updating of the authors' critically praised The Kimchi Matters (Agate B2, 2005). The authors, a group of present and former University of Chicago political risk experts, return discussion of globalization and international relations to first principles. Globalization hype has obscured a few basic truths--that political stability and economic growth are usually determined on the local level, and that they're most affected by local institutions, leadership, corruption, and other such factors. Risk Rules shows that globalization (and events like the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, and the September 11 attacks) makes understanding the political economies of distant countries more important than ever.

    Time and again, investors and foreign policymakers have been hurt because they haven't understood the unique local dynamics at work in a particular country or region. This truth holds for companies venturing abroad and for policymakers contemplating foreign challenges, and no less for small investors, voters, and others whose lives and finances are increasingly affected by distant world events. Risk Rules lays out an intuitive framework for making sense of international economic and political developments, whether negative (why markets in Argentina collapsed; why Russia stumbled, then rebounded, then stumbled again; why U.S. allies

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